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How will the stock market perform in 2020?

Despite a few ups and downs, the U.S. stock market in 2019 was much less volatile than in years past. That could change in 2020 because of a few potentially market-moving events on the horizon. Art Cashin of UBS, who has had his finger on the pulse of the stock market for more than 50 years, warns of three periods when volatility could strike in 2020: in January, when British Prime Minister Boris Johnson is expected to finally push Brexit through; in March, when Super Tuesday will bring a large chunk of the voting populace to the polls; and in July, when the Democratic Party might have a brokered convention.

The new year doesn’t come without its own set of risks.
Politics will be front and center, and the November 2020 presidential election could throw a wrench into the stock market rally. Much of the market’s reaction will depend on who will emerge as the Democratic nominee to challenge President Donald Trump. The candidate’s fiscal and economic policy plans will be closely scrutinized by investors.
Meanwhile, the high equity valuations in the United States could lead investors to look for better opportunities elsewhere. That could create a headwind for US equities.
Factors that could end the market’s decade-long bull run which appear less imminent but are nonetheless risks investors should keep an eye on: rising interest rates, higher oil prices, or a recession to bring about the end of the longest economic expansion in history.
Even so, “our money will still stay in stocks this decade as bond yields and savings accounts interest rates are being held down by Federal Reserve policy,” said Chris Rupkey, chief financial economist at MUFG.
The Fed is expected to keep its monetary policy on hold after cutting interest rates three times to stimulate the economy. Lower interest rates are good for stocks and will provide a supportive backdrop for the market in 2020. UPDATE- Throw everything out the window. Covid19 pandemic will make the markets very volatile. It will also create fortunes for investors who pick the right companies poised to recover quickly.

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